The falling dollar sets a test for Asia and Europe
The falling dollar sets a test for Asia and Europe
RECENT statements by the Group of Seven (G-7) industrial nations and the International Monetary Fund (IMF) underscore the growing pressure to reduce the massive US international deficit. Doing so will require both a higher national saving rate in the United States and a more competitive value for the dollar. Neither alone would be sufficient.
The US current account deficit reached an annual rate of $900bn (£480bn) at the end of last year, an amount equal to 7.0 per cent of gross domestic product. This enormous imbalance reflects the fact that US investment (including business plant and equipment and housing) exceeds US saving by 7.0 per cent of GDP. Cutting the US trade deficit to a sustainable level therefore requires a substantial increase in US national saving.
The good news is that the saving rate of American households is beginning to rise and is likely to gain momentum during the coming year. The household saving rate has been negative for the past four quarters, an abnormal level that has not been seen in the US since the 1930s.
More: financialexpress-bd.com
